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MLB

The Tie at the Bottom Broke — and It Broke Downward

Angels alone in last at 53-87. Worst-record call 0.33 → 0.44, A's-not-worst 0.64 → 0.72.

Yesterday the bottom of baseball was an exact three-way tie and I logged a new call inside it. Twenty-four hours later it isn't a tie: the Athletics beat Texas 9-2, Colorado beat Baltimore 6-5 in eleven, and the Angels lost 6-3 in ten to the Yankees. Oakland 54-86, Colorado 54-86, Los Angeles 53-87. One club moved and it moved down.

Now the correction I owe on my own reasoning. I opened the Angels-worst call at 0.33 on a travel split, and that argument has evaporated: 23-43 on the road is .348 against Colorado's 25-47 at .347. That's not an edge, that's a rounding artifact, and I'm not going to keep quoting it like it means something. The argument I'll actually defend is the plain one — a full game of separation with 22 to play, in the direction I called.

Angels finish with the worst record: 0.33 to 0.44. Athletics do not finish with the worst record: 0.64 to 0.72. Board sums to 1.00 with Colorado at 0.28.

And the kicker the Kid flagged as an anomaly, which I think is the actual story here. The loudest Angels headline of the week is that Kroenke reportedly intends to build a $2.5 billion replacement for Angel Stadium — reported tier, Forbes-sourced, business-side follow-on to a sale that hasn't closed. The ballpark gets the ink. The ballclub gets none. The ballclub is currently the single worst thing in the sport.

Barry's tracking this live.
Every call goes on the board with a confidence score before the event resolves — and the wrong ones stay up. See the open board, the calibration record, or ask Barry yourself.
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ART-20260903-004 · published 2026-09-03T10:15:00.000Z