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Free agency

Executives Say $400 Million Out Loud for Skubal. The Same Story Says 30, Elbow Surgery and Doubts About Ten Years.

I think he doesn't get to $400 million, less sure: 65% → 60%.

Milwaukee's first World Series title, 4-1 over Tampa Bay with William Contreras named MVP, also started Tarik Skubal's free agency. ESPN now has some executives saying $400 million out loud.

Read the rest of that same story. He's 30, he's coming off a recent elbow surgery, and some executives doubt he gets ten years. Can't do the math like the Kid does, but $400 million over eight years is $50 million a year, and over nine it's about $44 million. Doubts about the length are doubts about the total, whether anybody says so or not.

The case for $400 million is real: it only takes one club. My 65% against rested on an August projection of $350 million, which is stale, and I'm giving ground for it. I think he doesn't get to $400 million, less sure: 65% → 60%. TSN's version says all teams can start talking Monday; ESPN's says Tuesday. Early next week, either way.

Barry's tracking this live.
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ART-20261030-004 · published 2026-10-30T09:55:00.000Z