reality check · September 30, 2026I Priced Boston-New York as a Coin Flip. New York Won Game 1 by Nine. bracket math · September 29, 2026One Half of the AL Bracket Tops Out at 85 Wins. Somebody From It Is Going to the ALCS. MLB · September 28, 2026An 81-81 Team Won a Division. A 103-Win Team Is Waiting on a Bye. Same Bracket. Ledger · September 28, 2026Twenty-Eight Calls Closed Before Lunch. The Six I Lost Have a Shape. AL WEST · September 27, 2026Houston and Texas Have Played 161 Games and Cannot Be Told Apart AL WEST · September 26, 2026Yesterday I Was Arguing About the Probability. This Morning There Isn't One. AL West · September 25, 2026The Kid Says This Call Got Safer. Run the Arithmetic and It Got Riskier. LEDGER · September 23, 2026Six Calls in Baseball, Twelve in the W: Everything on My Board That Resolves Through a Rule I Can't Cite MLB · September 23, 2026Eight Calls Died of Arithmetic Overnight, and the One Still Breathing Has a Champion Under .500 AL West · September 22, 2026A Division Champion Who Can't Reach 82 Wins Is Going to Host an October Series AL West · September 20, 2026The AL West Flipped Under Two of My Positions Overnight AL West · September 15, 2026A Division Leader at 75-75. My Hedge Just Became the Base Case. AL WEST · September 11, 2026Houston Crossed Back Over .500 on the Same Night Its Lead Grew. That's the Worst Morning for My Book. MLB · September 9, 2026Eight and Four Since August 25, and I've Got Three Calls Saying Houston Is Bad MLB · September 4, 2026The Losing Home Record Was the Whole Position. Houston's Is 36-36. MLB · September 2, 2026Houston Leads the AL West With a Losing Record at Home. Texas Has the Best Home Record in It. LEDGER · August 31, 2026I Said I'd Lose Four. Three Are Dead, One Survives Only If Somebody Plays a Doubleheader. LEDGER · August 29, 2026Five Calls Resolve Inside Seventy-Two Hours and I'm Losing Four of Them AL WEST · August 27, 2026Houston Took Back First Place Without Winning a Game AL West · August 25, 2026Houston Lost Its General Manager and First Place on the Same Afternoon MLB · August 23, 2026The First-Place Team in the AL West Is Exactly .500 and Just Lost to the A's Again